Consider this your
required reading. Consider this a close
second place.
Consider this your
required listening. Consider this a close
second place.
Consider this your
required viewing. Consider this a close
second place.
“I won’t be open to it after the hearing,” said Bautista following a workout at the Jays spring training facility.
“After the hearing, I believe we will notify the team that (a
long-term deal) is not going to be a possibility, unless it’s in that
window they have from the end of the season until the free agency period
begins.”
It’s a crapshoot for both sides. By season’s end, Bautista’s value
could be through the roof or plummet back into the real world.
Bautista contends the reason he will close off negotiations is that
he doesn’t want any distractions for himself or for the team. Nobody
should read into this decision that Bautista wants to play anywhere else
but Toronto. He made that clear.
“My desire is to play in Toronto long term but, after the hearing, or
during the season, I have come to the conclusion that it’s probably not
the best thing for me to be negotiating any type of deal,” he said. “I
want to focus on the game and trying to win ballgames.
“If I’m in that type of negotiation, it’s going to shift my focus
from what I need to worry about and that’s baseball. I don’t want my
mind to be elsewhere when I come to the ballpark to help my team win.”
I'll start off with the elephant in the room. I have said it before and I'll say it again, there is no way - if I'm Jose Bautista - that I sign any contract extension of any length for any amount. As an athlete all you can ask for is an opportunity to show how good you can be. J-Bau was given that last season for the first time in his career. And he will be given that again in 2011. I think he easily wins the arb case tomorrow and doesn't talk extension until that small five day window after the World Series ends.
Courtesy of Replacement Level Yankees Weblog:
I’ve updated the 2011 CAIRO projections to version 0.6 and have
uploaded them to the site. They can be downloaded at the link below:
Cairo_2011_v0.6.zip
I’ve basically just updated rosters again and fixed a few issues. I’ve also added a projected standings page.
| TM | W |
L | RS |
RA | Div |
WC | PL |
W+/- | RS+/- |
RA+/- |
| Red Sox | 96.2 | 65.8 |
831 | 687 | 45.6% | 17.6% | 63.2% |
7.2 | 13 | -57 |
| Yankees | 92.1 | 69.9 |
821 | 726 | 28.8% | 19.4% | 48.2% |
-2.9 | -38 | 33 |
| Rays | 87.9 | 74.1 |
737 | 663 | 17.3% | 14.6% | 31.9% |
-8.1 | -65 | 14 |
| Blue Jays | 77.2 | 84.8 |
709 | 738 | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.2% |
-7.8 | -46 | 10 |
| Orioles | 76.9 | 85.1 |
739 | 788 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.0% |
10.9 | 126 | 3 |
Here is the first of many predictions with respect to standings. 77 wins sounds about right to me.
Interesting stuff right there.
Four games will be nationally televised on Rogers Sportsnet, four
games on bluejays.com while eight games can be heard on Sportsnet Radio
Fan 590, with an additional two games being available on the Blue Jays
network of stations. Specific details are below:
Feb. 26 -- vs. Detroit Tigers -- 1:05 (FAN 590)
Feb. 27 -- at Detroit Tigers --- 1:05 (FAN 590)
March 2 -- vs. Tampa Bay Rays -- 1:05 (Bluejays.com)
March 5 -- vs. Detroit Tigers -- 1:05 (Jays Radio Network)
March 6 -- at Pittsburgh Pirates -- 1:05 (SNET/FAN 590)
March 11 -- vs. NY Yankees -- 1:05 (Bluejays.com)
March 12 -- vs. Pittsburgh Pirates -- 1:05 (FAN 590)
March 13 -- vs. Tampa Bay Rays -- 1:05 (SNET-1/Jays Radio Network)
March 15 -- vs. Philadelphia Phillies -- 1:05 (Bluejays.com)
March 19 -- at NY Yankees -- 1:05 (FAN 590)
March 20 -- vs. Minnesota Twins -- 1:05 (FAN 590)
March 23 -- at NY Yankees -- 7:05 (SNET)
March 24 -- vs. Atlanta Braves -- 1:05 (Bluejays.com)
March 26 -- at Philadelphia Phillies -- 1:05 (FAN 590)
March 27 -- vs. Baltimore Orioles -- 1:05 (FAN 590)
March 30 -- vs. Tampa Bay Rays -- 4:10 (SNET)
Anybody know WTF the Jays Radio Network is and whether or not I have to pay the cheap bastards @ Rogers to get it?
When talking about the A.L.'s top rookies, don't leave out Blue Jays catcher J.P. Arencibia.
He heads into spring training with a starting job to be won. He's doing what he can to make sure he's ready.
"J.P. has been here since Jan. 3," said Blue Jays TV play-by-play man
Buck Martinez, who resides in Dunedin, Fla., the Jays' spring home.
I'm so happy that we will actually have a Rookie of the Year candidate this season. Go get em J.P.
Toronto also is asking Lind to learn to play first base after
serving primarily as a DH the past two seasons. Regaining your batting
stroke while learning a new position doesn't make for a stress-free
spring.
"Sometimes you can make a drastic change and it can affect your
hitting," Blue Jays hitting coach Dwayne Murphy says. "I hope it
doesn't. I don't think it will."
The 11 games Lind played at first base last season were the only
times he has played anywhere but the outfield or DH in his professional
career, other than one game at first base in the minors. General manager
Alex Anthopoulos prefers to have Lind take over for Lyle Overbay, who
signed with the Pittsburgh Pirates as a free agent, in the field because
it will give the club needed flexibility at the DH spot.
Murphy doesn't believe Lind, 27, will have much trouble at the plate.
"He didn't have the year he wanted, but look at the numbers he put
up— 23-72. So it wasn't like he had what I would consider a bad year,"
Murphy says.
Mmmm K. I guess.....
Drabek has the stuff to be a big league starter. He throws five pitches,
although he didn't use his change-up against right-handed batters in
his three September 2010 starts for the Blue Jays.
Average pitch speeds
| Pitch | MPH |
| Change | 87.5 |
| Fastball | 94.5 |
| Cutter | 90.9 |
| Sinker | 94.8 |
| Curveball | 84.9 |
Kid throws hard, that's for damn sure.
| Division |
LHB% |
SHB% |
LHB+SHB% |
| AL Cental |
35.6 |
15.6 |
51.2 |
| AL East |
37.8 |
15.6 |
53.4 |
| AL West |
27.8 |
19.4 |
47.2 |
| NL Cental |
25.9 |
3.7 |
29.6 |
| NL East |
35.6 |
17.8 |
53.4 |
| NL West |
31.1 |
11.1 |
42.2 |
With the
exception of the Jays, each AL East team figures to have at least four
left-handed and switch-hitting batters in their lineup most days. Even
with the righty-heavy Jays included, the AL East is tied for the highest
rate of switch- and left-handed hitters with the NL East. On the other
end of the spectrum is the NL Central—coincidentally Dotel’s home for
most of the 2010 season—with more than 70 percent of the expected
starters batting right-handed.
I found this article particularly insightful. Take a second and check it out.
Spring training and the 2011 regular season are just around the corner,
which means it's time to take stock of the top potential future stars in
the minor leagues.
Below are the Top 100 prospects in baseball right now, based upon my
years of experience in the industry as a scout and talent evaluator.
In order to be eligible for the list, the player must be part of a major
league organization and still considered a rookie (fewer than 130
at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the major leagues and fewer than 45
days on an active roster, excluding September call-ups).
Your Toronto Blue Jays had 5 of the top 100 on this list.
As spring approaches, baseball fans' minds turn to the possibilities of
the season to come. Which teams will emerge victorious? Which players
will rise above the rest? And which rookies will capture our fancies?
As much as baseball fans appreciate the game's history, they also look forward to the future stars.
My list of baseball's top 50 prospects was compiled based on my
personal scouting of the players along with input from all 30 teams
including GMs, scouting directors and other evaluators in the game.
With that, let's take a look at the top players of the future going into the 2011 season.
And we had 4 of the top 50 on this one. Kyle Drabek at number 5 overall!
A.J. Jimenez,
Grade C:
Jimenez hit .305/.347/.435 last year in 70 games for Low-A
Lansing, with 17 steals in 21 attempts, 18 walks, and 56 strikeouts.
He's got impatience issues but Midwest League sources seemed to think he
has a good chance to keep hitting at higher levels. His defense is also
intriguing: he caught 51% of runners and didn't give up an excessive
number of passed balls or errors. I gave him a Grade C in the book, but
with the notation that he could take a big step forward in 2011. Looking
at him again right now, you can make a really good case for a Grade C+
and that is how I would rate him today, though of course it is too late
to change the book grade. He was drafted in the ninth round in 2008 from
high school in Puerto Rico.
Don't sleep on A.J. when discussing our depth at the catcher position. Cannon of an arm, great wheels and he can hit. Look for him to start at High A and push d'Arnaud all year.
Lind, Hill and Rivera all performed below their career norms in 2010 —
just as Wells did in 2009. As long as one of them reverts to the mean —
like Wells last year — Bautista should be suitably protected. If that
doesn’t happen, Bautista might lead the majors in
walks, not home runs.
Either way, Bautista acknowledges that he won’t see the same (hittable)
pitches that he did in 2010. By now, opposing managers and pitchers are
well aware of the data, at Baseball-Reference.com and elsewhere, that
says 52 of Bautista’s 54 home runs were to left or left-center.
“It’s going to be a challenge,” Bautista said. “I don’t expect them to
try to get me out the same way they did last year. I can’t try to hit
home runs to left field if they throw it down-and-away.
“The good thing is that the changes I made (before last year) weren’t
about hitting the ball out to left. I was just trying to get ready
earlier, so my swing was on time. It was all about driving the ball
more. If 85 percent of the pitches I see are outside, hopefully I can
hit a lot of hard balls to right.”
I know what you’re thinking:
He’s going to overswing. Actually, I don’t think he will. The guy drew 100 walks last year, second-most in the American League.
“The most impressive thing about Jose’s season was the pitches he
didn’t
swing at; he had an unbelievable eye,” Hill said. “I think Jose will
have another big year. He’s obviously going to have big expectations,
but he’s been very good at just focusing on the task at hand.”
Man I can't wait for baseball season! It's going to be a lot of fun watching pitchers not let Bautista beat them this year. Somebody, anybody, needs to get hot early in order to give our opponent something else to think about.
My $20 bet on the Toronto Blue Jays to take the 2011 World Series, $1020 in my pocket when they pull it off
Gotta love the spirit!
Is it hyperbole? Probably, but it might be fitting that Scioscia invoked
baseball history, because last year’s Angels outfield was historically
awful. It became a sore subject for fans, pitchers, coaches and,
especially, one keenly interested observer.
“I’m not trying to be disrespectful to any players, but we really
had a lot of problems in right field and left field last year,” Angels
owner
Arte Moreno said recently. “There were balls
falling short, over their heads, in the gaps … Torii [Hunter] was
running everywhere and, to be a good hitter, you’ve got to have your
legs.”
The ultimate zone rating data -- which seems to be as good as any defensive measure -- suggest that
Juan Rivera (minus 4.9) was well below average as a left fielder, Hunter (minus 3.8) was well below average as a center fielder and
Bobby Abreu (minus 6.2) was a borderline disaster in right.
Juan Rivera can't play LF - let alone RF - according to his old teams OWNER. Consider yourself warned.
A pair of Canadians who less than two years ago looked to be on the path to the big leagues will not be among them.
In 2009, the Toronto Blue Jays selected University of Kentucky pitcher
James Paxton of Ladner, B.C., 37th overall in baseball’s June amateur
draft.
It was the highest the Blue Jays had ever taken a homegrown prospect since Canadian players were included in the draft in 1985.
Just 31 picks later, Toronto selected Newmarket high school pitcher Jake Eliopoulos with a second-round choice.
No general manager, scouting director or player would suggest 20
months is any kind of time frame to evaluate a baseball draft pick given
development often takes four to six years.
But nearly two years later, both Paxton and Eliopoulos are unsigned and waiting to take the next step in their baseball careers.
Each pitcher took a different path to their current place in a kind of baseball purgatory.
Yet another update on The Paxton Affair. Shoulda just signed the fucking contract James.
In that 2010 draft last June, the Mariners picked Paxton -- who is
from Ladner, British Columbia -- in the fourth round (132nd overall).
Many scouting analysts felt it was a shrewd sleeper pick by Seattle, and
that the Mariners had stolen a potential first-round talent. Yet here
it is Jan. 31, and Paxton still hasn't signed. Because he is no longer
in college, Paxton was not subject to the Aug. 16 signing deadline. The
Mariners thus own his rights until the week before the 2011 draft in
June -- but Zduriencik is hoping it doesn't get that far.
"There has been a conversation or two over the course of the
winter,'' he said. "It will be an interesting one, because here's a guy
who lives just an hour and a half up the road, and there's a point in
time he needs to get his career moving. You know, he's missed time in
pro ball. I couldn't think of a better scenario for him and his family
(than) to drive right down the road and play for the Seattle Mariners.
"As we move forward and we get closer, we'll see what happens. I
would hope there's a motivating factor on his part to try to get
something moving. Scott (Boras) and I have had a few discussions here
and there over the winter, but we haven't had any lately."
This one is from the Seattle perspective. Total waste of a perfectly good 4th rounder right there guys.
Not every team buys into this type of program. Teams such as the
Nationals, Orioles and Mets have had below average results for the
studied period. (There are no accurate records of injuries before 1997.)
Some teams, like the Blue Jays, show solid results, but have had
difficulty over the past three years keeping pitchers healthy. In 2009,
the Jays were a bit better than average overall, but broken down by
pitchers and position players, there was a huge divide. The team
couldn't seem to keep pitchers healthy at any level. There was no
pattern. The injuries happened to different body parts. They happened at
different levels. They happened to starters and relievers. They
happened to American and Latin players. There was no pattern, just
flukish results. The Jays stabilized to a more normal level with pitcher
injuries in 2010, but while teams like the Mets improved over a
horrendous '09 campaign that reached historic injury levels, they only
made it back to below-average. How bad can it be? The Orioles lost over
$30 million more than average over the last 10 years. The Nationals were
worse, but they had that whole Montreal situation in there that I can't
fairly adjust for.
A real good read on injuries in baseball.
At the time, manager Cito Gaston was burdened with most of the blame.
The 66-year-old was set to retire at the end of the season, and he was
accused of sacrificing the long-term benefit of the club in order to
finish his career with the best possible team on the field.
Anthopoulos said while he understands the criticism the organization
received, the move was made because of the promise that was given to
Buck.
"When we give our word to someone ... that's part of our brand,"
Anthopoulos said. "When I'm negotiating with an agent or I'm trying to
recruit a player, and we have to tell them something, whether it's good
or bad news, they know that we're going to honour our word and we're
going to be straight shooters.
"People in the game are starting to realize that the way the Toronto
Blue Jays operate, they're men of their word and they keep to their
commitment."
In keeping with the same train of thought, this helps explain why Boy Wonder dealt Napoli away. I'm guessing he promised E5 full time at bats and Napoli had some trade value.
Check out the size of the bat
Bryce Harper
is swinging in the first half this video, which was posted to YouTube
this week. It's a 36-inch, 47-ounce Marucci, custom made for the 2010
No. 1 draft pick.
If you're not familiar with bat sizes, that's like swinging a tree trunk. Most major-leaguers
use bats
between 32-34 inches and 30-34 ounces. Many years ago, sluggers would
sometimes use heavy bats, notably Babe Ruth, who reportedly started his
career using a 54-ouncer but in his prime was at about 40. I held one on
the 54-ouncers in a Hall of Fame exhibit, and it's tough to imagine
swinging it with any speed.
Heavier bats hit the ball farther (look
here
for more than you ever wanted to know on the subject), but it's a
tradeoff for bat speed. Even though players are bigger than ever now,
most sacrifice bat size for the confidence they can catch up to a
100-mph fastball -- and be assured Harper would look a lot different
taking those hacks against
Aroldis Chapman
than in a BP setting. I asssume the monster bat is just for show and
the 34-ounce models shown later in the video are his game bats.
(Also, in case you were curious, the bible verse Harper has engraved on
his bats, Luke 1:37, reads "With God nothing shall be impossible.")
